FOMC Minutes: Participants ‘agree’ that inflation expectations have deteriorated

  • High inflation justifies restrictive interest rates
  • Most participants saw downside risks to growth, including the possibility that a Federal Reserve hike could have a greater impact than expected
  • He saw the possibility of imposing “more restrictive” prices if inflation continued to rise
  • A controlled increase of 50 or 75 basis points is likely to be appropriate in July
  • Many participants saw a significant risk that higher inflation could take hold if the public questioned the Fed’s resolve.
  • full text

There is no mention of 100 basis points here, which is something the market was worried about at the time. Comments about the “larger-than-expected” impact and the consolidation of inflation expectations are noteworthy. They show a more refined look on both sides. Since the meeting, it has become more and more clear that raising prices has a greater impact and that inflation

inflation

Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate at which the average price level of goods and services in an economy or country increases over a period of time. It is the rise in the general level of prices where you actually buy a particular currency for less than in previous periods. In terms of valuation of strength or currencies, and thus foreign exchange, inflation or its measures are very influential. Inflation stems from the general creation of money. This money is measured by the level of the total money supply of a particular currency, for example the US dollar, which is constantly increasing. However, an increase in the money supply does not necessarily mean that there is inflation. What leads to inflation is a faster increase in the money supply relative to the wealth produced (measured in GDP). As such, this generates demand pressure on supply which does not increase at the same rate. Then the CPI rises causing inflation, so how does inflation affect forex? The level of inflation has a direct effect on the exchange rate between two currencies at several levels, including purchasing power parity which attempts to compare the different purchasing powers of each according to the general price level. In doing so, this makes it possible to determine which country has the most expensive cost of living, so the currency with the highest inflation rate loses its value and falls in value, while the currency with the lowest inflation rate rises in value in the forex market. Also affected. Extremely high inflation rates drive interest rates higher, causing the currency to depreciate on foreign currencies. Conversely, very low inflation (or deflation) pushes interest rates down, causing the currency to appreciate in the forex market.

Inflation is defined as a quantitative measure of the rate at which the average price level of goods and services in an economy or country increases over a period of time. It is the rise in the general level of prices where you actually buy a particular currency for less than in previous periods. In terms of valuation of strength or currencies, and thus foreign exchange, inflation or its measures are very influential. Inflation stems from the general creation of money. This money is measured by the level of the total money supply of a particular currency, for example the US dollar, which is constantly increasing. However, an increase in the money supply does not necessarily mean that there is inflation. What leads to inflation is a faster increase in the money supply relative to the wealth produced (measured in GDP). As such, this generates demand pressure on supply which does not increase at the same rate. Then the CPI rises causing inflation, so how does inflation affect forex? The level of inflation has a direct effect on the exchange rate between two currencies at several levels, including purchasing power parity which attempts to compare the different purchasing powers of each according to the general price level. In doing so, this makes it possible to determine which country has the most expensive cost of living, so the currency with the highest inflation rate loses its value and falls in value, while the currency with the lowest inflation rate rises in value in the forex market. Also affected. Extremely high inflation rates drive interest rates higher, causing the currency to depreciate on foreign currencies. Conversely, very low inflation (or deflation) pushes interest rates down, causing the currency to appreciate in the forex market.
Read this term Expectations go down.

I think there have been some concerns about a militant bent in these lectures and I don’t really see that here. We can see some relief in closing.

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